Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-12 · 20:30
12.7534.2%
X2.9731.6%
22.7534.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
DDWLWLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Maritimo
WLLLWLWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
7.10
Against
4.90
12.10
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.10goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.40
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.20goals per match
Nacional conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
7.10
Corners against
4.90
12.10
Match total
7.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
28.40
Match total
33.60

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%35.9%+1.8 pp
Draw31.6%32.9%+1.3 pp
Away34.2%31.1%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.101.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-013.8%
0-012.0%
0-110.2%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.814.65
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.3%22.2%–44.4% CI
Draw FT44.6%33.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT23.1%14.5%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away41.5%