Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-08 · 20:15
16.7413.9%
X4.2721.9%
21.4664.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
DDDWLLWDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDDLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
0.50
2H goals
1.00
40%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.40
Against
3.50
11.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.50goals per match
Belenenses conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.50
11.20
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
30.90
Match total
31.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%14.3%+0.4 pp
Draw21.9%21.4%-0.5 pp
Away64.2%64.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.862.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.4%
0-214.3%
0-014.3%
0-37.1%
1-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.215.50
Average total8.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away61.5%