Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 20:00
12.0645.6%
X3.1230.1%
23.8724.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DLWDLWLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Farense
LLDLLLLWDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.50
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.80
8.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Farense conceded1.60
Matchup

Farense attack

0.80goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.80
8.10
Match total
10.10
20%2/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
31.20
Match total
32.80

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%43.3%-2.3 pp
Draw30.1%30.6%+0.5 pp
Away24.3%26.1%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.310.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-011.2%
2-011.2%
0-010.4%
0-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.23
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.7%–47.4% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.6%–53.1% CI
Away FT26.4%16.4%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals7.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away43.4%