Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 17:30
12.2541.6%
X3.0630.6%
23.3827.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
WLDLWDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Moreirense
LDLLDLWWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.20
Against
6.60
8.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.60goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.60
8.50
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.90N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
38.70
Match total
32.10

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%42.6%+1.0 pp
Draw30.6%35.5%+4.9 pp
Away27.7%21.9%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.512.0%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.230.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-013.7%
1-012.6%
2-09.8%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.04
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.540.4%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.520.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%20.8%–40.3% CI
Draw FT48.1%37.6%–58.9% CI
Away FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away45.7%