Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 20:30
12.3440.1%
X3.1130.2%
23.1629.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
LLWDLDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Famalicao
WDLLDLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.80
Against
5.10
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.10
10.20
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Match total
6.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.80N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
36.60
Match total
34.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%41.2%+1.0 pp
Draw30.2%31.2%+1.0 pp
Away29.7%27.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.231.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-014.5%
0-010.0%
2-09.6%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.874.41
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%25.1%–41.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.1%–48.2% CI
Away FT27.9%20.7%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away45.1%