Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 18:00
16.5214.4%
X3.9124.1%
21.5361.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
WDLWLDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Porto
WDLWWWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
3.50
9.60
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchPorto conceded1.10Matchup
Porto attack
2.20goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.50
9.60
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
29.00
Match total
32.90
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.40
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%0.0%-14.4 pp
Draw24.1%18.2%-5.9 pp
Away61.5%81.8%+20.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS36.4%
Historical average
0.45–2.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-218.2%
0-318.2%
2-49.1%
1-29.1%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.64–5.09
Average total8.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home16.7%
Away66.7%