Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:30
11.9249.1%
X3.2928.6%
24.2222.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DLLWDWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Tondela
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
0.90
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.50
1.90
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.10goals per match
Tondela conceded2.50
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.90goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

20.30N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
34.70
Match total
31.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%47.5%-1.6 pp
Draw28.6%28.0%-0.6 pp
Away22.3%24.5%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.430.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
1-112.0%
2-010.5%
0-010.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.893.99
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI
Draw FT39.7%29.3%–51.2% CI
Away FT21.9%14.0%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away35.6%