Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-05 · 20:45
11.4266.3%
X4.2322.3%
28.2111.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Santa Clara
LWLWLDWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.30
Against
5.50
8.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.20
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.50
8.50
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
7.10
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.30N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
35.90
Match total
33.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.3%80.0%+13.7 pp
Draw22.3%20.0%-2.3 pp
Away11.5%0.0%-11.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

2.130.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-026.7%
1-013.3%
2-113.3%
0-013.3%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.003.40
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away26.3%