Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-05 · 20:45
11.4266.3%
X4.2322.3%
28.2111.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Santa Clara
LWLWLDWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.30
Against
5.50
8.50
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.00goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.20Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.20goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.50
8.50
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
7.10
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.30N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
35.90
Match total
33.70
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.40
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.3%80.0%+13.7 pp
Draw22.3%20.0%-2.3 pp
Away11.5%0.0%-11.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
2.13–0.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-026.7%
1-013.3%
2-113.3%
0-013.3%
3-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.40
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.2%
Away26.3%