Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-05 · 18:30
11.7553.8%
X3.4627.2%
24.9619.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pacos Ferreira
LWWWDWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nacional
WLDLLLDDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Against
6.30
7.40
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.60goals per match
Nacional conceded1.10
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.60goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.30
7.40
Match total
9.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
30.70
Match total
32.90

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%42.9%-10.9 pp
Draw27.2%28.6%+1.4 pp
Away19.0%28.6%+9.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

1.280.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
2-014.3%
0-114.3%
1-012.2%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.503.48
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.1%
Over 9.539.8%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.0%–48.4% CI
Away FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away47.6%