Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-01 · 20:15
12.6635.3%
X2.8732.7%
22.9332.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetMoreirense: 10/10 · Belenenses: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WDWLDWDDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Belenenses
WDLDLDLLD
1W 4D 4L · 0.78 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.11
1.30
Conceded
0.67
40%
Over 2.5
0%
60%
BTTS
0%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.33
1.00
2H goals
0.44
80%
Goal in 2H
44%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
3.00N=9
3.40
Against
5.56
7.00
Total
8.56
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
1.20
Goals scored
0.11
1.30
Goals conceded
0.67
2.50
Total goals
0.78
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchBelenenses conceded0.67Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.11goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.70
1H goals scored
0.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.33
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.11
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.33
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=9
3.40
Corners against
5.56
7.00
Match total
8.56
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.89N=9
4.70
Match total
4.78
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
16.44N=9
31.90
Match total
30.33
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.22N=9
4.00
On target
3.11
11%
Conversion
1%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%34.4%-0.8 pp
Draw32.7%37.7%+5.1 pp
Away32.0%27.8%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS53.6%
Historical average
1.15–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.2%
0-013.9%
1-011.3%
1-29.9%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.75–4.28
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.521.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.7%21.6%–44.0% CI
Draw FT49.2%37.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT19.0%11.2%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away41.3%