Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-01 · 19:00
11.4365.5%
X4.3821.4%
27.1613.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWLWWWDDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rio Ave
DDWDLLLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.00
Against
4.70
8.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.80goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.30
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.00
Corners against
4.70
8.50
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
30.20
Match total
30.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.60
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%78.3%+12.7 pp
Draw21.4%8.7%-12.7 pp
Away13.1%13.0%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS39.1%

Historical average

1.980.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-123.9%
2-021.7%
1-08.7%
3-08.7%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.04
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.519.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals42.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%