Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 17:30
12.7334.4%
X2.9132.2%
22.8133.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
DLWWLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Gil Vicente
DLLLDWLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
8.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.60
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.80goals per match
Tondela conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
8.50
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
30.20
Match total
32.30

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%38.9%+4.5 pp
Draw32.2%34.6%+2.3 pp
Away33.4%26.5%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.150.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-015.4%
0-012.3%
1-27.4%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.41
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%25.9%–48.0% CI
Draw FT47.8%36.5%–59.4% CI
Away FT15.9%9.1%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away39.1%