Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 17:30
12.7334.4%
X2.9132.2%
22.8133.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
DLWWLDWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Gil Vicente
DLLLDWLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
8.50
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
1.20goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.60Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.80goals per matchTondela conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
8.50
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
30.20
Match total
32.30
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%38.9%+4.5 pp
Draw32.2%34.6%+2.3 pp
Away33.4%26.5%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.15–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
1-015.4%
0-012.3%
1-27.4%
2-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–4.41
Average total9.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%25.9%–48.0% CI
Draw FT47.8%36.5%–59.4% CI
Away FT15.9%9.1%–26.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.0%
Away39.1%