Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 20:30
12.1643.6%
X3.2828.7%
23.4027.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Porto
WLWWWWWDWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.50
Against
3.30
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
3.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Porto attack
2.30goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.50Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
2.20goals per matchPorto conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.50
Corners against
3.30
9.20
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
34.00
Match total
33.60
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
6.40
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches234
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%44.0%+0.4 pp
Draw28.7%29.9%+1.2 pp
Away27.7%26.1%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
1.31–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-012.8%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
0-110.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.51
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=234.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%22.9%–41.1% CI
Draw FT45.8%36.2%–55.8% CI
Away FT22.9%15.6%–32.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away40.6%