Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-26 · 20:30
12.0346.4%
X3.2828.7%
23.7725.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWLLWLWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Boavista
DDDLDDDLWD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.40
Against
5.70
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.10goals per match
Boavista conceded1.60
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.70
8.60
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
33.70
Match total
33.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
2.80
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%47.5%+1.1 pp
Draw28.7%27.8%-0.8 pp
Away25.0%24.7%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.410.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-011.4%
2-010.1%
2-19.5%
0-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.04
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%20.0%–46.6% CI
Draw FT43.2%29.7%–57.8% CI
Away FT25.0%14.6%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals29.5%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away40.9%