Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 20:15
16.3914.7%
X4.3721.5%
21.4763.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetFarense: 10/10 · Benfica: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
LDLWWDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDDLD
4W 3D 2L · 1.67 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.67
1.30
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
44%
70%
BTTS
56%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.56
1.50
2H goals
1.11
80%
Goal in 2H
78%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.78N=9
4.70
Against
3.44
11.60
Total
9.22
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=9
1.40
Goals scored
1.67
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.67
70%7/10
Over 1.5
89%8/9
50%5/10
Over 2.5
44%4/9
30%3/10
Over 3.5
11%1/9
70%7/10
BTTS
56%5/9
Matchup

Farense attack

1.40goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.67goals per match
Farense conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=9
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.56
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
78%7/9
40%4/10
Leading at HT
33%3/9
0.70
2H goals scored
0.67
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.44
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
78%7/9
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
22%2/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=9
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.78N=9
4.70
Corners against
3.44
11.60
Match total
9.22
70%7/10
Over 8.5
56%5/9
70%7/10
Over 9.5
44%4/9
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
44%4/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.78N=9
5.70
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
78%7/9

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
14.56N=9
33.90
Match total
31.33

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.67N=9
3.30
On target
4.33
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%20.8%+6.1 pp
Draw21.5%16.7%-4.8 pp
Away63.8%62.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS29.2%

Historical average

0.631.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.8%
0-216.7%
1-012.5%
2-08.3%
0-48.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.136.71
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.545.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%