Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 15:30
12.1743.2%
X2.9132.2%
23.8324.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetBelenenses: 10/10 · Nacional: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
LDDDWLLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Nacional
WLDLLLDDW
2W 3D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.56
0.90
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
22%
50%
BTTS
33%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.89
0.60
2H goals
0.67
40%
Goal in 2H
56%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.00N=9
5.50
Against
6.00
10.90
Total
9.00
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
0.80
Goals scored
0.56
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
1.56
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.80goals per matchNacional conceded1.00Matchup
Nacional attack
0.56goals per matchBelenenses conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.70
1H goals scored
0.22
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.67
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.33
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.33
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=9
5.50
Corners against
6.00
10.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.78N=9
4.90
Match total
4.33
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.80N=10
Committed
17.00N=9
32.20
Match total
33.44
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
9.22N=9
3.90
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%41.7%-1.5 pp
Draw32.2%35.7%+3.4 pp
Away24.5%22.6%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
1.27–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.8%
1-114.8%
2-010.4%
2-19.6%
1-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.04–3.81
Average total8.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.546.1%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.521.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%16.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT53.1%39.4%–66.3% CI
Away FT20.4%11.5%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.3%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.0%
Away40.8%