Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 20:15
17.8212.0%
X4.7619.7%
21.3768.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetMoreirense: 9/10 · Benfica: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WDWLDWDDL
3W 4D 2L · 1.44 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDDL
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM

Goals

1.22
Scored
1.75
1.33
Conceded
1.00
44%
Over 2.5
50%
56%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.44
1H goals
1.50
1.11
2H goals
1.25
89%
Goal in 2H
88%

Corners

3.67N=9
For
5.38N=8
2.78
Against
3.50
6.44
Total
8.88
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/9 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=8
1.22
Goals scored
1.75
1.33
Goals conceded
1.00
2.56
Total goals
2.75
78%7/9
Over 1.5
88%7/8
44%4/9
Over 2.5
50%4/8
33%3/9
Over 3.5
13%1/8
56%5/9
BTTS
50%4/8
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.22goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.75goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.33
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=8
0.67
1H goals scored
1.00
0.78
1H goals conceded
0.50
78%7/9
Over 0.5 1H
75%6/8
33%3/9
Leading at HT
38%3/8
0.56
2H goals scored
0.75
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.50
89%8/9
Over 0.5 2H
88%7/8
22%2/9
More goals in 2H
25%2/8
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=8
3.67N=9
Corners for
5.38N=8
2.78
Corners against
3.50
6.44
Match total
8.88
33%3/9
Over 8.5
50%4/8
33%3/9
Over 9.5
38%3/8
33%3/9
Team over 4.5
38%3/8
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.22N=9
For
2.75N=8
4.67
Match total
5.00
67%6/9
Over 3.5
75%6/8

Fouls

14.56N=9
Committed
14.50N=8
31.89
Match total
31.25

Shots

10.89N=9
Shots
9.75N=8
4.11
On target
3.88
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%11.1%-0.9 pp
Draw19.7%25.9%+6.3 pp
Away68.4%63.0%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

0.962.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.8%
1-211.1%
1-411.1%
2-211.1%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.076.41
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away40.0%