Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 20:15
17.8212.0%
X4.7619.7%
21.3768.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetMoreirense: 9/10 · Benfica: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WDWLDWDDL
3W 4D 2L · 1.44 PPM
Benfica
WWLWWDDL
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM
Goals
1.22
Scored
1.75
1.33
Conceded
1.00
44%
Over 2.5
50%
56%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.44
1H goals
1.50
1.11
2H goals
1.25
89%
Goal in 2H
88%
Corners
3.67N=9
For
5.38N=8
2.78
Against
3.50
6.44
Total
8.88
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=8
1.22
Goals scored
1.75
1.33
Goals conceded
1.00
2.56
Total goals
2.75
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.22goals per matchBenfica conceded1.00Matchup
Benfica attack
1.75goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.33Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=8
0.67
1H goals scored
1.00
0.78
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.56
2H goals scored
0.75
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=8
3.67N=9
Corners for
5.38N=8
2.78
Corners against
3.50
6.44
Match total
8.88
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.22N=9
For
2.75N=8
4.67
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.56N=9
Committed
14.50N=8
31.89
Match total
31.25
Shots
10.89N=9
Shots
9.75N=8
4.11
On target
3.88
11%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%11.1%-0.9 pp
Draw19.7%25.9%+6.3 pp
Away68.4%63.0%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
0.96–2.26
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.8%
1-211.1%
1-411.1%
2-211.1%
0-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.07–6.41
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home20.0%
Away40.0%