Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-09 · 19:00
12.3040.8%
X3.1429.9%
23.2129.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetBoavista: 8/10 · Nacional: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
LLWDLDLL
1W 2D 5L · 0.63 PPM
Nacional
WLDLLLDD
1W 3D 4L · 0.75 PPM
Goals
0.75
Scored
0.50
1.88
Conceded
1.13
50%
Over 2.5
25%
38%
BTTS
38%
By half
1.38
1H goals
0.88
1.25
2H goals
0.75
63%
Goal in 2H
63%
Corners
4.75N=8
For
3.25N=8
5.25
Against
6.00
10.00
Total
9.25
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
5/8 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=8
0.75
Goals scored
0.50
1.88
Goals conceded
1.13
2.63
Total goals
1.63
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
0.75goals per matchNacional conceded1.13Matchup
Nacional attack
0.50goals per matchBoavista conceded1.88Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=8
0.50
1H goals scored
0.13
0.88
1H goals conceded
0.75
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.25
2H goals scored
0.38
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.38
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=8
4.75N=8
Corners for
3.25N=8
5.25
Corners against
6.00
10.00
Match total
9.25
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.13N=8
For
2.63N=8
4.63
Match total
4.13
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.63N=8
Committed
16.25N=8
36.88
Match total
32.88
Shots
13.50N=8
Shots
9.50N=8
4.63
On target
3.25
6%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%43.8%+3.0 pp
Draw29.9%32.6%+2.6 pp
Away29.3%23.6%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.27–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.4%
1-016.7%
0-09.7%
0-18.1%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.05–4.33
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%26.6%–45.2% CI
Draw FT39.4%30.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT25.3%17.7%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away41.4%