Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 21:00
13.1829.5%
X3.1729.6%
22.2940.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetBelenenses: 9/10 · Guimaraes: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
LDDDWLLWD
2W 4D 3L · 1.11 PPM
Guimaraes
DWWWWDWD
5W 3D 0L · 2.25 PPM
Goals
0.78
Scored
1.50
0.89
Conceded
0.38
33%
Over 2.5
38%
44%
BTTS
25%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.67
2H goals
0.88
44%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.56N=9
For
3.25N=8
5.33
Against
6.38
10.89
Total
9.63
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/9 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=8
0.78
Goals scored
1.50
0.89
Goals conceded
0.38
1.67
Total goals
1.88
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.78goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.38Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.50goals per matchBelenenses conceded0.89Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=8
0.67
1H goals scored
0.88
0.33
1H goals conceded
0.13
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.11
2H goals scored
0.63
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.25
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=8
5.56N=9
Corners for
3.25N=8
5.33
Corners against
6.38
10.89
Match total
9.63
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.67N=9
For
2.25N=8
4.89
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.33N=9
Committed
15.63N=8
33.00
Match total
31.88
Shots
10.22N=9
Shots
8.25N=8
3.89
On target
3.38
8%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%28.2%-1.3 pp
Draw29.6%28.2%-1.4 pp
Away40.9%43.5%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS42.7%
Historical average
1.03–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.9%
1-112.1%
1-011.3%
0-08.9%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–5.10
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Away FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.0%
Away55.0%