Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 21:00
13.1829.5%
X3.1729.6%
22.2940.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetBelenenses: 9/10 · Guimaraes: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
LDDDWLLWD
2W 4D 3L · 1.11 PPM
Guimaraes
DWWWWDWD
5W 3D 0L · 2.25 PPM

Goals

0.78
Scored
1.50
0.89
Conceded
0.38
33%
Over 2.5
38%
44%
BTTS
25%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.67
2H goals
0.88
44%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.56N=9
For
3.25N=8
5.33
Against
6.38
10.89
Total
9.63
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/9 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=9 N=8
0.78
Goals scored
1.50
0.89
Goals conceded
0.38
1.67
Total goals
1.88
67%6/9
Over 1.5
50%4/8
33%3/9
Over 2.5
38%3/8
0%0/9
Over 3.5
25%2/8
44%4/9
BTTS
25%2/8
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.78goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.38
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Belenenses conceded0.89
Timing

First & second half

N=9 N=8
0.67
1H goals scored
0.88
0.33
1H goals conceded
0.13
56%5/9
Over 0.5 1H
63%5/8
33%3/9
Leading at HT
50%4/8
0.11
2H goals scored
0.63
0.56
2H goals conceded
0.25
44%4/9
Over 0.5 2H
50%4/8
22%2/9
More goals in 2H
25%2/8
Set pieces

Corners

N=9 N=8
5.56N=9
Corners for
3.25N=8
5.33
Corners against
6.38
10.89
Match total
9.63
67%6/9
Over 8.5
63%5/8
67%6/9
Over 9.5
63%5/8
78%7/9
Team over 4.5
0%0/8
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.67N=9
For
2.25N=8
4.89
Match total
4.00
78%7/9
Over 3.5
50%4/8

Fouls

17.33N=9
Committed
15.63N=8
33.00
Match total
31.88

Shots

10.22N=9
Shots
8.25N=8
3.89
On target
3.38
8%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%28.2%-1.3 pp
Draw29.6%28.2%-1.4 pp
Away40.9%43.5%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

1.031.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.9%
1-112.1%
1-011.3%
0-08.9%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.10
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Away FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away55.0%