Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 19:30
11.6357.4%
X3.7624.9%
25.2717.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Setubal
DWLLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Belenenses
WLLLWDWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.80
Against
7.50
10.30
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.10goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.60
Matchup

Belenenses attack

1.00goals per match
Setubal conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
7.50
10.30
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
28.60
Match total
31.60

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.50
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%61.2%+3.8 pp
Draw24.9%16.4%-8.5 pp
Away17.7%22.4%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.660.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.9%
2-114.9%
2-013.4%
0-110.4%
1-210.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.88
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals15.0%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away40.0%