Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 19:30
11.1581.2%
X6.7813.8%
218.555.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DDLDDWDWLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Aves
LLLWDLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
9.10
9.00
Total
13.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
1.90
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.00goals per match
Aves conceded2.20
Matchup

Aves attack

0.60goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
9.10
9.00
Match total
13.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

19.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
34.80
Match total
31.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.2%90.9%+9.7 pp
Draw13.8%9.1%-4.7 pp
Away5.0%0.0%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS18.2%

Historical average

3.090.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-018.2%
2-018.2%
5-09.1%
0-09.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.181.45
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away10.0%