Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-26 · 19:30
13.1629.5%
X2.6535.2%
22.6435.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WLLDWWLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Tondela
WLLWLLDLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Against
7.30
10.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Tondela conceded1.60
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.30
10.30
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
32.00
Match total
30.10

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.80
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.5%9.1%-20.4 pp
Draw35.2%36.4%+1.2 pp
Away35.3%54.5%+19.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.59.1%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

0.911.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-236.4%
1-118.2%
0-09.1%
2-09.1%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.824.73
Average total8.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.0%15.9%–39.6% CI
Draw FT42.0%29.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT32.0%20.8%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away48.0%