Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 21:15
11.9248.7%
X3.5026.7%
23.8024.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWLDDLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LWWLDLDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
12.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.40
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
12.00
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
6.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
26.00
Match total
31.00

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
7.10
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%45.5%-3.2 pp
Draw26.7%26.8%+0.1 pp
Away24.6%27.6%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.440.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
1-112.2%
2-19.8%
0-19.8%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.71
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.561.8%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.8%15.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Away FT39.0%25.7%–54.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals22.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away56.1%