Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 19:00
13.7425.0%
X3.5126.6%
21.9348.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
DWDLWLDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Famalicao
LLWDLDWDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.30
Against
5.70
11.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.30goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.30
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Maritimo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.70
11.80
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.20
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
35.70
Match total
31.20

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.0%25.6%+0.6 pp
Draw26.6%23.3%-3.4 pp
Away48.4%51.2%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.191.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.0%
0-111.6%
2-09.3%
1-19.3%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.35
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away66.7%