Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-24 · 21:15
12.4638.0%
X3.1929.3%
22.8632.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WDWLLDLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
WDLLWWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.70goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.30
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

1.50goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.20
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
18.80N=10
30.30
Match total
34.20

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%36.3%-1.7 pp
Draw29.3%31.9%+2.6 pp
Away32.7%31.9%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.241.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-113.3%
2-08.8%
0-08.8%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.41
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT45.7%30.5%–61.8% CI
Away FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away45.7%