Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-24 · 19:00
13.1130.1%
X3.3827.7%
22.2242.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LLLWWLWDLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Guimaraes
DDLWWWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
8.20N=10
5.10
Against
2.90
10.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.70goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
2.90
10.30
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
31.60
Match total
31.60

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.70
On target
5.80
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%35.7%+5.6 pp
Draw27.7%21.4%-6.3 pp
Away42.2%42.9%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.311.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
0-011.9%
0-19.5%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.625.24
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.559.5%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away61.5%