Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-24 · 19:00
13.1130.1%
X3.3827.7%
22.2242.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
LLLWWLWDLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Guimaraes
DDLWWWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
8.20N=10
5.10
Against
2.90
10.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.10goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.10Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.70goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
2.90
10.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
31.60
Match total
31.60
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.70
On target
5.80
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%35.7%+5.6 pp
Draw27.7%21.4%-6.3 pp
Away42.2%42.9%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.31–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.7%
0-011.9%
0-19.5%
2-17.1%
0-37.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–5.24
Average total10.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.559.5%
Over 11.538.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals38.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.8%
Away61.5%