Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 21:15
112.407.6%
X6.1815.2%
21.2277.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aves
LWLLLLLDLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Benfica
WWWLWDDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
6.50
Against
4.60
11.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aves attack
0.50goals per matchBenfica conceded1.00Matchup
Benfica attack
1.40goals per matchAves conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.60
11.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.10
Match total
6.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.50N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
35.00
Match total
31.80
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
2.90
On target
5.00
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.6%0.0%-7.6 pp
Draw15.2%13.3%-1.9 pp
Away77.2%86.7%+9.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
0.40–2.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-226.7%
0-513.3%
0-113.3%
2-46.7%
0-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.07–6.60
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away70.0%