Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 21:15
112.407.6%
X6.1815.2%
21.2277.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aves
LWLLLLLDLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Benfica
WWWLWDDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
6.50
Against
4.60
11.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aves attack

0.50goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.40goals per match
Aves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.60
11.80
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.10
Match total
6.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
35.00
Match total
31.80

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
2.90
On target
5.00
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.6%0.0%-7.6 pp
Draw15.2%13.3%-1.9 pp
Away77.2%86.7%+9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.402.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-226.7%
0-513.3%
0-113.3%
2-46.7%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.076.60
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away70.0%