Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 19:00
11.3967.4%
X4.5320.7%
27.8811.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
LLWWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Setubal
LWWDLDDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
7.90
9.80
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.40goals per matchSetubal conceded1.40Matchup
Setubal attack
0.80goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.90
9.80
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.30
Match total
32.90
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.4%58.3%-9.1 pp
Draw20.7%25.0%+4.3 pp
Away11.9%16.7%+4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
1.58–0.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-033.3%
0-016.7%
3-08.3%
2-28.3%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.83–4.08
Average total10.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.0%43.3%–81.9% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away20.0%