Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-21 · 19:00
11.3967.4%
X4.5320.7%
27.8811.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
LLWWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Setubal
LWWDLDDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
7.90
9.80
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.40goals per match
Setubal conceded1.40
Matchup

Setubal attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.90
9.80
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.30
Match total
32.90

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.4%58.3%-9.1 pp
Draw20.7%25.0%+4.3 pp
Away11.9%16.7%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

1.580.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-033.3%
0-016.7%
3-08.3%
2-28.3%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.834.08
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.0%43.3%–81.9% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away20.0%