Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 21:15
11.3569.7%
X4.9619.0%
28.3011.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WLWWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Moreirense
LLDWDDWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Against
7.20
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.70
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.20
10.00
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.10
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
18.20N=10
32.20
Match total
34.40

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.7%84.2%+14.5 pp
Draw19.0%15.8%-3.2 pp
Away11.3%0.0%-11.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS36.8%

Historical average

2.160.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.1%
2-015.8%
3-015.8%
2-110.5%
4-25.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.263.68
Average total10.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.2%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away0.0%