Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 21:15
11.6556.8%
X3.8424.4%
24.9818.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WLWLLWDDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Maritimo
WDLDLLLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
1.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.30goals per match
Maritimo conceded0.90
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.60goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
8.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Match total
5.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
17.90N=10
30.30
Match total
35.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%54.7%-2.1 pp
Draw24.4%20.0%-4.4 pp
Away18.8%25.3%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.680.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.3%
0-112.0%
2-010.7%
1-010.7%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.214.03
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away38.9%