Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 19:00
12.3340.2%
X3.1729.6%
23.1030.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
LLWLWDDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Gil Vicente
DDLDWWLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.10
0.60
2H goals
1.20
30%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.80
Against
4.30
10.50
Total
7.80
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.70goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.20Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.10goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.30
10.50
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
31.40
Match total
34.60
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.10
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%44.5%+4.3 pp
Draw29.6%33.6%+4.1 pp
Away30.2%21.8%-8.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS42.9%
Historical average
1.22–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.5%
1-115.1%
0-013.4%
0-17.6%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.34–4.29
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.545.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%24.4%–52.1% CI
Draw FT46.5%32.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT16.3%8.1%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal62.8%
2+ goals25.6%
3+ goals9.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away25.6%