Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 21:30
11.7553.6%
X3.6825.5%
24.4920.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWLWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LLWWLDLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.70
Against
4.70
9.60
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.50goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.70
9.60
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.00
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
31.70
Match total
30.20

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.10
On target
4.50
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%52.3%-1.3 pp
Draw25.5%30.8%+5.3 pp
Away20.9%16.9%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.620.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-013.8%
2-112.3%
1-29.2%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.144.00
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Away FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away45.8%