Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 17:00
12.6035.9%
X3.0730.4%
22.7833.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WWLLDWWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LWDLLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
11.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.40goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.40Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
1.40goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
11.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
18.80N=10
32.00
Match total
34.40
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%36.8%+0.9 pp
Draw30.4%36.8%+6.4 pp
Away33.6%26.3%-7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
1.17–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.5%
1-114.3%
0-012.0%
0-111.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.65
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Draw FT44.2%31.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT17.3%9.4%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away36.5%