Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 21:30
12.4038.9%
X3.1030.1%
23.0131.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WWDWLLDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Tondela
LWLLWLLDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.80
8.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.60goals per match
Tondela conceded1.40
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.60goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.80
8.60
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.60
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
30.30
Match total
31.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.10
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%41.1%+2.2 pp
Draw30.1%33.0%+2.9 pp
Away31.0%25.9%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.080.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.5%
1-115.2%
0-014.3%
0-18.0%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.36
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%23.2%–50.2% CI
Draw FT44.4%30.9%–58.8% CI
Away FT20.0%10.9%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.4%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away28.9%