Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 21:30
11.6058.5%
X3.9623.7%
25.2617.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWLDDLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Guimaraes
DDDLWWWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
8.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.50
12.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.20goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.00
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.80goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
8.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.50
12.20
Match total
11.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.00
Match total
31.20

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
7.00
On target
5.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.5%55.9%-2.7 pp
Draw23.7%11.8%-11.9 pp
Away17.8%32.4%+14.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.590.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.6%
2-017.6%
2-114.7%
1-211.8%
0-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.79
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away46.7%