Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 17:00
11.6457.2%
X3.8424.4%
25.1218.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LLLLWWLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Aves
LLLLWDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.40
Against
9.30
9.40
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Aves conceded2.00
Matchup

Aves attack

0.60goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
9.30
9.40
Match total
12.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
30.70
Match total
31.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.60
On target
2.30
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%53.3%-3.9 pp
Draw24.4%20.0%-4.4 pp
Away18.3%26.7%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.550.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
2-011.7%
1-211.7%
1-111.7%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.053.93
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away42.9%