Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 21:15
13.2528.9%
X3.3128.3%
22.1942.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Setubal
WDWLLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Famalicao
DLLWDLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.10
Against
6.30
10.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.10goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.40
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.20goals per match
Setubal conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.30
10.30
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.90
Match total
6.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
27.40
Match total
30.90

Shots

8.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.60
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%25.3%-3.6 pp
Draw28.3%29.7%+1.3 pp
Away42.8%45.1%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.031.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
0-012.1%
0-111.0%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.584.99
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Draw FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Away FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.4%
Away54.5%