Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 21:15
13.2528.9%
X3.3128.3%
22.1942.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Setubal
WDWLLLDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Famalicao
DLLWDLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.10
Against
6.30
10.30
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Setubal attack
1.10goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.40Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.20goals per matchSetubal conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.30
10.30
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.90
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
27.40
Match total
30.90
Shots
8.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.60
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%25.3%-3.6 pp
Draw28.3%29.7%+1.3 pp
Away42.8%45.1%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.03–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
0-012.1%
0-111.0%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.58–4.99
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Draw FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Away FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals21.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.4%
Away54.5%