Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 19:00
13.8024.7%
X3.2928.6%
22.0146.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
DDWDLWLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Rio Ave
LDWWWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.90
Against
6.00
11.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.40goals per matchRio Ave conceded0.80Matchup
Rio Ave attack
1.40goals per matchMaritimo conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.00
11.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
36.40
Match total
26.00
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%26.9%+2.2 pp
Draw28.6%15.4%-13.2 pp
Away46.7%57.7%+11.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
1.19–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-223.1%
1-311.5%
1-011.5%
1-111.5%
2-37.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–5.27
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.2%
Away66.7%