Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 19:15
12.4438.3%
X3.1729.5%
22.9132.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Belenenses
DLLWLWDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Moreirense
DLLDWDDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
0.50
2H goals
1.60
20%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.30
9.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.00
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
20%2/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.30
9.60
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
31.20
Match total
32.80

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
2.40
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%31.6%-6.8 pp
Draw29.5%42.1%+12.6 pp
Away32.1%26.3%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.261.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.1%
0-111.8%
0-010.5%
2-29.2%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.80
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT64.0%44.5%–79.8% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away48.0%