Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 19:15
12.4438.3%
X3.1729.5%
22.9132.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Belenenses
DLLWLWDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Moreirense
DLLDWDDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
0.80
0.50
2H goals
1.60
20%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.80
Against
6.30
9.60
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.80goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.00Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.40goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.30
9.60
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
31.20
Match total
32.80
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
2.40
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%31.6%-6.8 pp
Draw29.5%42.1%+12.6 pp
Away32.1%26.3%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.26–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.1%
0-111.8%
0-010.5%
2-29.2%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.80
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT64.0%44.5%–79.8% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals8.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away48.0%