Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 19:15
11.6357.4%
X3.6525.6%
25.5117.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Santa Clara
DWLWWLDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.10
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.40goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.20Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.40goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
31.30
Match total
33.30
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%52.6%-4.8 pp
Draw25.6%28.9%+3.3 pp
Away17.0%18.4%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS57.9%
Historical average
1.66–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.4%
2-113.2%
2-013.2%
3-110.5%
3-05.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–3.87
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.521.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.85
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away46.2%