Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 19:15
11.6357.4%
X3.6525.6%
25.5117.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Santa Clara
DWLWWLDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.10
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.40goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.20
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
31.30
Match total
33.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%52.6%-4.8 pp
Draw25.6%28.9%+3.3 pp
Away17.0%18.4%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.661.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
2-113.2%
2-013.2%
3-110.5%
3-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.373.87
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away46.2%