Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-10 · 17:00
11.6158.2%
X3.8124.6%
25.4417.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWLWLLWDDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
LDDLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.00
Against
4.70
11.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.20
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.70
11.60
Match total
8.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
30.70
Match total
35.50

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%50.0%-8.2 pp
Draw24.6%27.5%+2.9 pp
Away17.2%22.5%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.571.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
2-112.5%
1-010.0%
3-110.0%
0-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.054.17
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.3%