Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 19:15
19.539.9%
X4.8019.6%
21.3370.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LDDLDLDWLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Porto
WDWWWWWLDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.50
Against
2.90
9.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.00
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.70goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
Tondela conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
2.90
9.90
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
34.70
Match total
32.80

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.30
On target
4.70
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.9%6.7%-3.2 pp
Draw19.6%13.3%-6.2 pp
Away70.6%80.0%+9.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.472.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
0-420.0%
0-313.3%
1-26.7%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.076.60
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.546.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals84.6%
3+ goals61.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away84.6%