Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 21:15
14.0023.4%
X3.3727.8%
21.9248.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aves
WLWLLLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Setubal
WLWWDLDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
7.40
Against
8.20
12.50
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aves attack

0.50goals per match
Setubal conceded1.50
Matchup

Setubal attack

1.10goals per match
Aves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
7.40
Corners against
8.20
12.50
Match total
12.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
35.40
Match total
33.20

Shots

8.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.60
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.4%35.7%+12.3 pp
Draw27.8%21.4%-6.4 pp
Away48.8%42.9%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.211.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.4%
1-117.9%
1-014.3%
0-110.7%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.755.79
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away61.5%