Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 21:15
14.0023.4%
X3.3727.8%
21.9248.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aves
WLWLLLLLDL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Setubal
WLWWDLDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
7.40
Against
8.20
12.50
Total
12.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aves attack
0.50goals per matchSetubal conceded1.50Matchup
Setubal attack
1.10goals per matchAves conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
7.40
Corners against
8.20
12.50
Match total
12.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
35.40
Match total
33.20
Shots
8.50N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.60
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.4%35.7%+12.3 pp
Draw27.8%21.4%-6.4 pp
Away48.8%42.9%-5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.21–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-221.4%
1-117.9%
1-014.3%
0-110.7%
3-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.75–5.79
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away61.5%