Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 19:00
12.6036.0%
X3.0530.7%
22.8033.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
LLDLWLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Maritimo
LWDLDLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.90goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Matchup

Maritimo attack

0.50goals per match
Boavista conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.90
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
35.30
Match total
34.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%35.2%-0.7 pp
Draw30.7%39.0%+8.4 pp
Away33.4%25.7%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.161.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-016.2%
0-010.5%
0-19.5%
2-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.42
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI
Draw FT44.7%30.1%–60.3% CI
Away FT13.2%5.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away36.8%