Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-06 · 21:00
14.6020.4%
X3.4527.2%
21.7952.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DWWLLDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLLWWLDLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
5.20
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.50goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.40
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.20
11.40
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
6.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
31.70
Match total
31.10

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%10.0%-10.4 pp
Draw27.2%50.0%+22.8 pp
Away52.4%40.0%-12.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

0.801.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-140.0%
0-120.0%
1-310.0%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.50
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away55.6%