Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 21:30
11.1978.7%
X6.5014.4%
213.606.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWLWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Belenenses
LLWLLLWDWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.40
Against
7.30
9.60
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.40
Corners against
7.30
9.60
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
32.10
Match total
30.90

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.80
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.7%100.0%+21.3 pp
Draw14.4%0.0%-14.4 pp
Away6.9%0.0%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

2.910.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-136.4%
4-018.2%
2-118.2%
2-018.2%
4-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.822.27
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.545.5%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away15.4%