Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 19:15
13.3228.2%
X3.2329.0%
22.1942.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
WLDDLDLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Famalicao
LDLLWDLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
0.80goals per matchFamalicao conceded1.70Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.10goals per matchTondela conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
35.30
Match total
31.30
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.40
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%28.3%+0.0 pp
Draw29.0%32.6%+3.6 pp
Away42.8%39.1%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS39.1%
Historical average
1.00–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.2%
0-113.0%
1-113.0%
1-010.9%
2-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.52
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.3%
Away37.5%