Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 19:15
13.3228.2%
X3.2329.0%
22.1942.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
WLDDLDLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Famalicao
LDLLWDLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.70
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.10goals per match
Tondela conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
35.30
Match total
31.30

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.40
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%28.3%+0.0 pp
Draw29.0%32.6%+3.6 pp
Away42.8%39.1%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS39.1%

Historical average

1.001.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.2%
0-113.0%
1-113.0%
1-010.9%
2-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.52
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.3%
Away37.5%