Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 17:00
13.8324.5%
X3.2528.9%
22.0146.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
DWWDWLLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Rio Ave
LLDWWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
7.00
9.10
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.60goals per matchRio Ave conceded0.90Matchup
Rio Ave attack
1.40goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.00
9.10
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
34.50
Match total
28.50
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.90
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.5%30.0%+5.5 pp
Draw28.9%10.0%-18.9 pp
Away46.7%60.0%+13.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.10–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-230.0%
2-020.0%
0-120.0%
2-310.0%
1-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.00–5.80
Average total8.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.540.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.510.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away62.5%