Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 21:15
11.2773.7%
X5.3417.5%
210.718.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWWLDDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Boavista
LWLLWWLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
11.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.30goals per match
Boavista conceded1.20
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
11.80
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
19.70N=10
24.50
Match total
34.70

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.70
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.7%90.9%+17.2 pp
Draw17.5%9.1%-8.4 pp
Away8.7%0.0%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS27.3%

Historical average

2.000.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.3%
2-018.2%
3-118.2%
3-09.1%
4-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.092.91
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.518.2%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away20.0%