Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 21:15
11.2773.7%
X5.3417.5%
210.718.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWWLDDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Boavista
LWLLWWLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
11.80
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
2.30goals per matchBoavista conceded1.20Matchup
Boavista attack
0.60goals per matchBenfica conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
11.80
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
19.70N=10
24.50
Match total
34.70
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
6.70
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.7%90.9%+17.2 pp
Draw17.5%9.1%-8.4 pp
Away8.7%0.0%-8.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS27.3%
Historical average
2.00–0.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-027.3%
2-018.2%
3-118.2%
3-09.1%
4-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–2.91
Average total9.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.518.2%
Over 11.59.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away20.0%