Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 19:15
13.4127.4%
X3.2229.1%
22.1543.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
DWDDLDDWDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Guimaraes
DDDDLWWWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
8.90N=10
3.90
Against
3.80
9.10
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.80goals per match
Portimonense conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.80
9.10
Match total
12.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.90
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

18.40N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
33.80
Match total
31.00

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.20
On target
6.10
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%30.4%+3.0 pp
Draw29.1%34.8%+5.7 pp
Away43.5%34.8%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.151.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.4%
1-010.9%
1-110.9%
1-28.7%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.63
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal52.9%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away35.3%